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The Interview: The Economist
Issue 37 -Dec/Jan 08
Dr Yuwa Hedrick-Wong speaks to Ashford Pritchard
about demographics, the global talent crunch and other
issues affecting the real estate universe in Asia.
A business strategist and economist with 20 years of experience gained
in over thirty countries in Europe, Sub-Saharan Africa, and Asia Pacific,
Dr. Yuwa Hedrick-Wong has served as strategy advisor to over thirty
leading multinational companies in the region and has been economic
advisor to MasterCard Worldwide in Asia Pacific since 1999. He led the
research that developed the Worldwide Centers of Commerce project for
MasterCard, which in 2007 ranked the world's top 50 global cities based
on their roles in connecting the global economy and their respective
contributions to global commerce. He will be a keynote speaker at the
CoreNet Global Conference in Mumbai from 3 - 5 March 2008.
The talent crunch, how will affect growth in Asia?
In the short of term to mid term it is not going to affect growth, simply
because there is a mobile pool of both regional and local talent. A lot of
people miss that in Asia, we forget that the brightest and the youngest
are foreign talents from other countries in the region. The challenge
for Asian countries is not only to tap into this increasingly mobile pool
of talent but to keep their own and attract from within the region. This
intra-regional flow is important. An interesting example of this is some
figures from researchers at the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences,
suggesting that in the greater metropolitan Shanghai region there
are 25,000 Korean students. This leads to the question: how many
international students are being attracted to China, just to study there?
this in turn gives a good indication of just how mobile talent is today.
Growth is clearly one of the variables, but increasingly the better
educated, more creative and talented professionals are talking about
the quality of life in the location being a factor – not just financial
return. Young urban professionals in Asia have to juggle the triangle
of lifestyle imperatives, work, leisure, and relationship. People are not
compromising in terms of postponing personal gratification, so the kind
of location, the kind of culture that allows optimal manifestation of that
creative lifestyle will attract the mobile talent. In Asia, the competition
between aspiring global cities will increase. The challenge will be not
just be between having the infrastructure and the hardware, but how to
foster a truly creative, vibrant environment to attract and retain talent
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What effect will demographics have in the long and short term?
For China, Hong Kong, Korea, Taiwan, in the short term what we're seeing a quantity quality trade off. You do have lower numbers of young people, but my projection is that they are increasingly better and better educated, and increasingly with the right skills and in the right areas. Ten, fifteen years in the future, it's a big question mark. It all depends on the nature of economic growth, the labour pool could run into serious shortages.
In Japan, the big issue is the lack of participation of women in the
workforce. It’s a tremendous resource being underutilised for entrenched
cultural reasons, which is a bit of a concern. The problem is that even
though much debate has happened in policy-making and business
institutes and think tanks over the past few years, not much has
changed on the ground in terms of business practices. The labour force
will shrink, by about 0.8 percent per year in the coming decade, and
it’s shrinking at the younger end and they’re still not attracting well educated
younger women.
How are these issues going to affect the real estate universe?
The quantity and the quality of real estate developments in the coming
decades will be one of the few decisive factors affecting locational
advantage in Asia. The quality of the local infrastructure, in turn
affects logistics efficiency therefore there’s better productivity which
means more investment and business locating there. The support to
sustain that development involves attracting and keeping talent, that’s
where the decisive aspect comes on. Are we going to see the type of
development we’ve seen in the past, just throwing more concrete into
the market or a new kind of real estate development that is encouraging
more vibrant, creative communities.
What role do the industries of the built environment have?
Industry has to engage government beyond the traditional approach, to
talk about social, community and environmental issues. That’s the way
of the future. Instead of just a luxury development that younger singles
can’t afford, can we create affordable but interesting housing conducive
to encouraging young talent?
We need to think in terms of different workplaces, we know corporate
workplaces and commercial buildings. But look how governments are
focusing on entrepreneurial talent, people are talking about creating
an environment for these people. But what do these people want? For
example, take on older run down district, don’t just knock it down and
put up a bunch of high-rise buildings. Instead, why not renovate it,
put in smaller affordable offices. Create a local business community,
encourage the type of interesting retail services that the young urban
professionals want. There’s a few of these types of communities
appearing in Singapore and for example, in the neighbourhood near
Fudan University in Shanghai.
These types of places are outside of the traditional parameters, they’re
a new kind of hybrid, combining commercial areas with living quarters,
situated within communities of innovative and creative services;
catering to the younger crowd and relatively more affordable. New
categories have to come up, new segmentation, we have to move
beyond the crude distinction of commercial, residential. These types of
hybrids will become increasingly important. RFP
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